Friday, June 12, 2015
Orange Surge: New Poll Shows the NDP Leading the Other Parties
As I've been saying for quite a while the winds of change are sweeping across this country, and the latest EKOS poll only confirms that.
The NDP is still rising like a rocket.
It's lead over the other parties continues to grow.
And if an election was held tomorrow it would likely be in a position to form a minority government.
In five of our last six polls, the NDP improved its standing with Canadian voters and the party now stands at 33.6 per cent — a 16-point gain in just four months. The New Democrats now have nearly double the support they had at this point prior to the 2011 election. Support for the Conservatives and the Liberals continues to languish, with the two parties standing at 27 points and 23 points respectively.
And since the NDP is still climbing, it can now dream of even bigger things...
As Frank Graves points out there are some caveats.
For NDP Leader Tom Mulcair, the most troubling aspect of his party’s robust poll numbers is how they tilt towards younger voters. One-third of the party’s constituency is under the age of 35. These voters typically don’t vote in great numbers and they are a politically fluid group, with a tendency to bounce between parties.
But I'm sure that young voters will turn out in numbers never seen before.
And the best news is that Stephen Harper's Cons are falling like a stone...or a meteorite.
And it seems that their foul anti terrorist Bill C-51 may be helping to drag them down.
The charts above show that support for C-51 has declined sharply and there is now clear majority opposition — a far cry from the majority support of a couple of months back (the period which coincides with the Liberals and NDP changing places in the polls). It’s also worth noting that the percentage of ‘strong’ opposition is twice as high as strong support — which suggests that the growing opposition is engaging emotionally.
Which shouldn't be that surprising.
For as the Fear Factor fades, and as other polls show that the more Canadians learn what is in Bill C-51 the more they loathe it, resistance to the bill can only grow....
These findings echo the trends noted in an essay we released in the wake of the Parliament Hill shootings, when we cautioned that while Canadians are often initially supportive of measures meant to protect civlians at home, such support quickly tapers off.
Virtually every response to the terrorist threat over the past decade has been deemed a failure in hindsight. The public flatly rejects the notion that threats to our security can be resolved through further restrictions on personal freedoms — and they’ll hold their leaders to account for any decisions which further erode civil liberties.
The NDP may also be benefiting from its position that the Senate should be abolished. Because even though many experts believe that would be almost impossible, it does reflect the views of most Canadians.
And Stephen Harper stands to lose the most...
But beyond the individual issues I think what is mostly responsible for fuelling the NDP's rise is that desire for change. And the clear desire of many progressive voters to support the party that can best defeat the Cons.
And if the NDP continues to climb in the polls, and if the Liberals continue to decline, I'm pretty sure more progressives will join them, and what is now just a surge could very well become an orange wave.
Especially if Tom Mulcair does well in the leadership debates as most Canadians believe he will.
As they say, only time will tell. But that time is running out for the Cons.
And for someone like me who dreams only of toppling that foul regime by whatever democratic means necessary, it couldn't be better news.
I've been waiting so long for that dream to come true, or for our ship to come in.
And now I finally think it is...
Now isn't that great news to end another week in Harperland?
Hey tyrant, watch out for that orange wave !!!
And have a great weekend everybody...
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