Saturday, January 17, 2015
Stephen Harper and the Issue that Will Destroy Him
Gosh. What a difference a day makes. Yesterday I wrote about that nightmarish Ipsos Reid poll that suggested that Stephen Harper had risen from his political grave, and was heading for another majority.
And I said that I couldn't wait for another poll, to see if the numbers were more encouraging.
And whether the sagging economy might take him down with it.
And in that regard the news couldn't be better.
The Liberals have a small but significant lead, and they have led in every poll we have conducted for well over a year. They have a very important lead in the critical Ontario market and they have strength throughout the country, and with some key voting groups like those more educated and the huge boomer cohort.
Justin Trudeau's Liberals are back in the lead. And although the Cons are still a deadly threat.
The extremely unpopular Stephen Harper is only mildly so now and the base that provided a majority in 2011 is returning to the fold. Strikingly, the critical senior vote has shown a net 20 point turnaround and is now squarely in the Conservative camp.
Throw in the advantage of a well-resourced and practiced political machine and those 31 points — the Conservatives’ highest polling in two years — seem to point to a fourth victory for Prime Minister Harper.
The terrorist scare that he helped fuel from the safety of his cowardly closet is fading...
And the economy is now the biggest threat to his future.
What is mildly surprising and quite important to note is that the very real security bounce that put the Conservatives in a virtual tie with the Liberals in late November seems to be weakening — not strengthening.
In fact, the more we look at the numbers, the more convinced we become that this election will be about the economy and the government’s role in managing it — not security.
Which explains why the Cons are panicking, and why Oily Joe Oliver prorogued the budget...
Desperately hoping for an economic recovery that may not arrive in time.
Private-sector economists who will supply key forecasts for Finance Minister Joe Oliver’s upcoming budget say a delayed delivery makes sense, but there are few signs the economic picture will be much better three months from now.
“They’re looking to see if stability emerges – or some type of stability,” said Mary Webb, Scotiabank’s director of economic and fiscal policy. “It may not emerge. And I believe we’re all worried about that outcome.”
And if the economy doesn't miraculously recover, Stephen Harper will come under increasing pressure to explain why he blew the surplus before he had one.
The changing landscape is leading some to second-guess Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s decision to announce major retroactive tax cuts for families in October – outside of the budget process – that will reduce federal revenue by $27-billion over six years.
And why after spending all those billions to try to buy the votes of some Canadians, he still has the nerve to call to call himself a Great Economist Leader?
Instead of Great Buffoon Leader.
Even as this other buffoon threatens to flatten him...
Which all things considered, is just about as good as it could be right now.
For time is still his enemy, and if the scandals don't condemn him, his lousy economic record will.
He didn't know what he was doing.
He is the most corrupt, incompetent, and morally depraved leader this country has ever known.
And he is going down...
Now isn't THAT a great way to end this scary week?
Have a great weekend everybody !!!
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