Monday, October 20, 2014
The Journey to the End of the Con Regime
I was watching them make a music video on an old schooner in the harbour yesterday, when I suddenly realized that in exactly one year, if Stephen Harper doesn't break his own law, we'll be voting in a general election.
And then, like the cabin boy lashed to the mast on a ship of female pirates, I thought oh boy this could be a long and exhausting journey eh?
Because while just a few days ago I was almost sure that Harper was going to go for an early election, maybe even a late fall election. In a last desperate kamikaze move to seize the moment, by posing as a Great Warrior Leader, and catch his opponents off guard.
You know, his Tora Tora moment....
Now I'm thinking he won't, because if this poll is correct it really would be SUICIDAL.
Canada could have a minority Liberal government with an NDP official Opposition a year from now if current trends continue, according to a new EKOS poll conducted jointly for iPolitics and Radio-Canada. Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s Conservatives, who have ruled Canada since 2006, risk being relegated to the back corner of the House of Commons unless they can turn things around in the coming year, the poll conducted by EKOS Research indicates.a
Justin Trudeau’s Liberals are well out in front with 38.5 per cent of the vote. The Conservatives are at 26.4 per cent, with Thomas Mulcair’s NDP in a close third at 25 per cent. However, the NDP leader has the highest approval rating and the New Democrats have the most potential to grow, leading EKOS President Frank Graves to conclude the NDP could form the opposition, despite its current third place standing.
The Harper cult's political Jonestown. Where Great Ugly Leader and his ghastly Cons are both crushed and HUMILIATED.
“The next Parliament, if it were to be created based on the poll that we have, would see a strong minority Liberal government with a sizeable NDP opposition with Mr. Harper reduced to a third party, rump status,” said Graves.
That assessment was backed up by veteran poll analyst Paul Barber, who blogs under the name TC Norris. He said if these numbers were to hold up through a campaign, and based on the regional breakdowns, the Conservatives would finish a distant third, 70 behind the Liberals and 27 behind the NDP.
And we finally get to treat him like he's treated us...
Which was such a great thought it made me wonder whether the three-day Great Victory Party I'm planning is too short, and whether I have saved up enough booze and fireworks to go for a whole week. Or whether I should start celebrating TOMORROW.
“Things can change but I fail to see how a government, a year out from reckoning with the public in the polls with these many challenges and so few obvious cards to play, is going to have much success,” said Graves.
Because although those numbers may make Stephen Harper hang in to the bitter end, hoping against hope that he can turn them around. And although as Tim Harper points out, a lot of things can happen in a year.
A year from now, we could be dealing with anything from upheaval in Hong Kong to a health epidemic which has spread to South Asia or to something no one can yet see.
What those numbers tell me is that there is an ENORMOUS desire for change in this country, an Anybody But Harper movement. And if we make the election all about him we can't lose.
If the opposition leaders can successfully make Harper the campaign issue, the dynamics will radically change. Either could win by not being Harper and either would look fresh and progressive when up against a man who, after a combative 10-year hold on power, asks for another four. If a collective Canadian yearning for change takes hold, then tax breaks, a strong economy or good grades on the world stage won’t matter.
That desire for change will trump everything, and will sweep all before it.
Of course, if Harper's numbers match the EKOS numbers, he may decide to quit before the election to avoid being humiliated.
Or before Jason Kenney makes his move...
But one way or the other it won't save the Cons, and this is the bottom line:
By the time the leaves start falling next year, the most ghastly leader in Canadian history will be gone.
We will be living in our beautiful Canada again...
We will be free at last.
And although I now realize I definitely don't have enough fireworks eh?
Isn't that a happy thought to start the week?
Have a great one everybody !!!
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