Monday, May 04, 2015
Alberta: New Poll Suggests the NDP is Heading for a Blowout Victory
With just a few hours to go before Albertans go to the polls, in what could be a historic election, the excitement continues to mount.
And while some experts are still predicting that Jim Prentice's election day machine will allow him to keep his job.
A new poll is predicting that Rachel Notley's NDP is heading for a blowout victory.
With just a day to go until Albertans elect a new government, the province’s NDP appears poised for a history-making breakthrough. New Democrat Leader Rachel Notley is headed for the premier’s office — possibly with a majority. And Premier Jim Prentice’s Progressive Conservatives — the people behind 12 consecutive majority governments — are staring down the very real possibility of being relegated to third place.
Comparing this week’s results to last week’s polling, we see that the numbers are highly stable; our internal tracking shows a modest uptick in NDP support over the last two weeks. There are no signs of any last-minute shifts and the underlying regional and demographic patterns have not changed. These results are not a blip, in other words; even with differential turnout, the NDP are almost certainly going to win and are likely to capture a majority.
And what I find most encouraging is that the labour vote is showing its strength. And even those who support other progressive federal parties are planning to vote for the Alberta NDP.
This election shows the power of a unified progressive vote (bolstered by the labour vote). This election is unfolding in a jurisdiction which — in a reversal of the federal scene — features a split right-wing vote and a united progressive vote. Furthermore, we have seen a remarkable rejection of Progressive Conservatives by Alberta’s university- educated ‘elite’.
And of course this couldn't be worse news for Stephen Harper...
For losing his base to the hated socialists must be driving him CRAZY.
And he must surely fear what could happen to him in the next federal election.
As for me, as I've said before, I dare not raise my hopes, because I've been disappointed so many times before.
But something amazing is clearly happening, the citizens of Alberta are clearly showing a political courage other Canadians would do well to emulate.
And choosing hope over fear.
So take that Jim Prentice...
And of course, for the last time in this historic campaign.
Go Rachel GO!!!!!!
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