Saturday, April 02, 2016
Is Donald Trump's Campaign Heading for Disaster?
He's still standing. He's still leading the chorus line from Hell to the Republican nomination.
But Donald Trump is looking and sounding a lot less confident these days.
And with good reason.
It was a REALLY bad week.
Trump is facing the toughest test of his campaign after a week in which he veered into a series of unexpected controversies and -- for a change -- seemed to struggle in his response.
His parade of missteps on issues ranging from national security to abortion have left the Republican front-runner wading through his roughest patch yet on the campaign trail.
He has a massive problem with women. Seven out of ten of them now hold an unfavourable opinion of him.
The Republican establishment is in a full blown panic, and claiming he could not only lose the general election.
"He has completely turned off huge swaths of the electorate. His numbers have continued to get worse. He would get absolutely massacred on a historic scale (in a general election). All of the data demonstrates it."
He could also blow up the Republican Congress and the party itself.
And sadly for the Republicans they could be right. Polls do suggest that in a general election both Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton would beat him handily.
Trump now trails Clinton by 9 points in the HuffPost Pollster polling average and by 11.2 points in RealClearPolitics' average — and he's behind Bernie Sanders by even more in both. Any of these showings from Trump would be the weakest performance from a major party nominee in the past 20 years.
And so desperate are the Republican bosses that many of them are now backing Ted Cruz...
Even though he's a tool of the religious right, who believes that a woman should never be able to get an abortion even in the case of rape or incest.
Which should make him really popular with female voters.
And even though most of those Republicans absolutely detest Cruz, as The Donald himself pointed out yesterday.
Even if he didn't run the full quote from Cruz's Princeton roommate.
"I would rather have anybody else be the president of the United States," screenwriter Craig Mazin told the Daily Beast in 2013. "Anyone. I would rather pick somebody from the phone book."
Which tells me, along with all those gaffes that Trump has been making, that he doesn't have a very good political organization.
The sequence of events not only tests Trump's Teflon aura but also calls into question his unique method of campaigning, which relies on off-the-cuff calls from the gut, assaults on political correctness and an unusually small-scale political operation around the billionaire.
And only strengthens my belief that in the beginning at least, Trump's campaign was just a half assed attempt to boost his brand. That he wasn't really serious about running for President, he just wanted to reap the free publicity.
Until he realized he could actually become an accidental president.
And now the joke is on him.
So I'm glad to see that Jimmy Kimmel agrees...
And the best news?
The Trump story may not end exactly like that, but the ending will be ugly.
And when it's finally over the Republicans will not be laughing.
The billionaire buffoon came out to play, and blew them all out of the water...
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