Friday, September 08, 2017
Why Andrew Scheer's Crusade Is Heading For Disaster
In my last post I wrote about how Andrew Scheer had set out on his crusade, to try to bring down the Great Satan Justin Trudeau.
Aided and abetted by a small army of religious fanatics, and the usual shabby posse of racists, misogynists, dirty old men, and anti-gay bigots.
And so shocking and depressing was the spectacle, I forgot to mention the good news.
I don't think Scheer and his Cons are going to make it to their New/Nouveau Jerusalem.
At least not judging by this latest Abacus poll.
Our latest polling on the political mood of Canadians shows that if an election were held today the Liberal Party would garner 43% support, compared to 31% for the Conservatives and 17% for the NDP.
For these are serious numbers:
On a regional basis, we see the Liberals with an 23-point lead in Ontario, a 22-point lead in Quebec, and an 18-point lead in BC. The Liberals have a 12-point lead among men, and an 11-point lead among women. The Liberals have a substantial lead among all age groups except voters 45-59, where they are effectively tied with the Conservatives.
And Scheer has a problem...
A big problem...
He's out of synch with reality.
So few people know or care about him, they have to plaster his name all over the place just to try to get them to remember or pay attention...
All that hate mongering about Omar Khadr, or the phony flap about taxing the rich, doesn't seem to be working.
Attentiveness to the controversial Khadr settlement appear to be waning, and our results don’t (at least for the moment) pick up indications that the hotly debated individual corporation tax change proposals have created a backlash. Instead, economic confidence seems to be the prevailing sentiment affecting federal politics.
And when Canadians find out more about who Scheer really is, he's going to be even less popular.
And it's not hard to figure out why.
When he stops smiling, people start screaming...
In the age of Trump, nobody needs another one...
And to make matters ever worse, if that's possible.
Stephen Harper's spiritual legacy is hurting rather than helping him...
So sadly for Scheer, and his religious fanatics, racists, misogynists, dirty old men, and anti-gay bigots, it seems there will be no New Jerusalem.
And unless the NDP can also rise from the dead, which at this point seems unlikely.
Approval is the plurality view across all age groups, and in every region except the Prairies. Perhaps most important to the Liberal fortunes is the fact that by a margin of 47% to 24%, those who voted NDP in the last election approve of the job the Trudeau government is doing.
Justin Trudeau will probably be prime minister for a long, long, time...
As his father once said, "the universe is unfolding as it should."
And the future belongs to us...