Sunday, January 07, 2007

Israel's Plan to Nuke Iran and the Big Cloud

I wonder if fifty years from now historians will write that the fateful year 2007 began on a balmy note. People frolicked in the unusually warm weather, even in cold places like Canada. The flowers opened early. It was like Spring in Winter. Until Israel attacked Iran. The Middle East exploded. The oil fields burned. And the Third World War or Oil War One began.

Geez... I hope not. But I'm afraid the writing is on the walls....of those Iranian nuclear installations Israel is planning to nuke.

Israel has drawn up secret plans to destroy Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities with tactical nuclear weapons.

Under the plans, conventional laser-guided bombs would open “tunnels” into the targets. “Mini-nukes” would then immediately be fired into a plant at Natanz, exploding deep underground to reduce the risk of radioactive fallout.

Who can blame the Israelis for attacking the sites? When the Iranians are vowing to wipe them off the map. And all it would take is one bomb. The fact that they are even floating this stuff shows how worried the Israelis are.

But as I pointed out last April attacking the Iranian nuclear facilities won't be easy.....or clean. Forget about low yield. A successful tactical nuclear strike would create a really big cloud.

And that's why these scientists don't believe that going nuclear is the way to go....

Conventional bunker busters like this one....

Just big ass Big BLU

And then there would be the hellish political aftermath in the region.The Iranians would probably retaliate by firing missiles at Israel and trying to close the straits of Hormuz. Or by attacking the Saudi oil fields. Hezbollah and Hamas would attack Israel. And in Iraq the Shiites would turn on the Americans.

Which raises an interesting question. Are the Americans sending in more troops to Iraq to try to win that war? Even though their army is so wasted they are calling up the dead.

Or are they just trying to blunt the coming offensive? And preparing for the day when they'll have to fight their way out. Fight the Iranians. And protect and control the oil fields... Which let us never forget was what the war in Iraq was always all about

Question: How many American troops would it take to do that and still keep a strategic hold on Iraq and Afghanistan? Answer: More than they have...

And if the oil fields burn... and tanker supplies are disrupted .....and oil supplies dry up... How will other nuclear powers like Russia and China react? Will China send in its rapidly expanding deep sea fleet into the region, to safeguard its strategic interests? Could it eventually lead to a superpower confrontation? And even Oil War One....

And if Israel does go nuclear.... will that usher in a new era of terrorist dirty bombs?

So many questions. So few answers. The only thing I don't doubt is that fifty years from now historians will wonder how we ever let ourselves get into such a situation. How we got so hooked on oil, and greed and mindless violence and crazy religion.

That even when we saw the apocalypse coming. Or at the very least a Terrorist Tsunami. And the Mother of all Recessions. We left ourselves no way out.

So we couldn't do anything to stop it...

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