Are The Cons Really In A Position To Win The Next Election?

I must admit that right now I'm more interested in these kind of races, than the one that will determine the winner of the next election.

But I've heard that some pollsters in the field are saying they haven't seen the Con numbers so low for DECADES.

So I was curious to see whether Erin O'Toole was now caught between a rock and a hard place.

Or should I say, caught between the Justin cat, and his angry and demoralized supporters?

So you can imagine how shocked I was to see this Angus Reid poll:

Which suggests that O'Toole's ratty gang are in a virtual tie with the Liberals, and presumably in a position to win the next election !!!

Which needless to say had the grubby old toxic Trudeau hater the Disaffected Lib practically quivering with excitement.

But that's when I started to laugh, for somebody forgot to tell him that Angus Reid's record of predicting election results is not exactly impressive.

And that old Angus himself is so Con friendly, he even talks like one...

And when Reid was asked why his poll was so different from the others, he said his poll was the same as a recent Leger poll.

When in fact the two were quite different...

So I find it hard to believe that the Liberals and the Cons could be in a virtual tie, especially since Justin Trudeau is so much more popular than the other leaders... 

And even the very Con friendly Nik Nanos, thinks the Trudeau Liberals have a very good chance to win a majority.

In the latest Nanos tracking poll, they enjoy a double-digit lead over Erin O’Toole’s Conservatives (Liberals 38 per cent, Conservatives 24 per cent, NDP 20 per cent, Greens 8 per cent, Bloc 5 per cent, People’s Party 4 per cent, nationally). The most dramatic shift in public opinion since the last election is against the Conservatives. A look at the weekly ballot trends since the last election suggest the Conservatives have dropped to 24 per cent from 34 per cent – a withering level of support for a party that held power for almost a decade under Stephen Harper.

Unless the Liberals make some terrible mistake, and the loser O'Toole can find some fake scandal or magic formula to make himself more popular.

Which is probably NOT going to happen in the time O'Toole has left before the writ drops. He's just too unpopular. 

And NOT when even some in the Con media are predicting disaster... 

At this point, I must admit I have no idea what this jumble of polls means. It's summer after all, and in Canada summers are so short. 

But you know, the other day I was delighted to see Theodore Tugboat come chugging into my neighbourhood, all the way from Halifax, on his way to his new home in Hamilton.

And he took me back to a more innocent time, a safer less frenzied time, when even the Cons behaved like Canadians.

Which I took to be a good omen.

For whatever the result of the election, with a majority or without one, Justin Trudeau is going to be the prime minister for at least the next four years.

The ugly old Cons will be left squealing in pain, for a long, long time. Endlessly arguing with themselves over what went wrong. And whether they are the party of Harper or Trump. 

While we help and push Trudeau to keep on building a better Canada...